Valve Could Make $20 Billion From Steam This Year, And It Owes Developers Big-Time

Alinea Analytics estimates Valve could make $20 billion this year from Steam game sales alone, including $1.7 billion in September 2026, $5.5 billion in Q3, and $16.5 billion so far this year. Steam takes a 30 percent cut of every sale, and with 20,000 games launching on the store each year, the article argues Valve should reduce that cut, create a developer panel, and curate the store in-house.